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欧文谈东契奇最后一攻 欧文将如何适应东契奇(1)

达拉斯现在在防守端做了什么?

I have significant concerns about what the Mavericks look like on the defensive end, particularly come playoff time, if they don’t make another move.

我非常担心独行侠在防守端的表现,特别是季后赛期间,如果他们不采取进一步行动的话。

Losing Finney-Smith shouldn’t be underrated. He’s not the kind of player you can make untouchable if you’ve decided that you’re willing to make an Irving deal, but he was very important to the team’s structural integrity. Finney-Smith has turned into one of the better defensive forwards in the NBA,

失去芬妮史密斯不应该被低估。如果你决定愿意交易得到欧文,他不是那种非卖品的球员,但他对球队的结构完整性非常重要。芬妮史密斯已经成为 NBA 中防守更好的前锋之一,

finishing seventh last year in All-Defense voting at the position. He excels as a switchable on-ball weapon, taking on tough assignments every night and making life more difficult for a variety of different player types. He dealt with stars as disparate as Durant, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Stephen Curry and Giannis Antetokounmpo for long stretches. It was his job to slow down the best player on the opposing team every night. And while he wasn’t quite as good this season as he was last year, he was still taking on a huge role.

芬妮史密斯去年在该位置的最佳防守阵容投票中名列第七。他擅长作为换防各个位置的球员,每晚都承担艰巨的任务,让各种不同类型的球员的进攻变得更加困难。他长期与杜兰特、谢伊吉尔吉斯-亚历山大、斯蒂芬库里和扬尼斯阿德托昆博这样截然不同的明星打交道。他的工作是每晚让对方最好的球员慢下来。虽然他这个赛季没有去年出色,他仍然扮演着重要的角色。

欧文谈东契奇最后一攻 欧文将如何适应东契奇(2)

It’s also a bit tougher than people think to find guys who can do that while also being 6-foot-7 with long arms and shooting 38 percent from 3 (as Finney-Smith has done over the last four years of his career on over 1,200 attempts). Finney-Smith doesn’t take much value off the floor on offense acting as a floor spacer who doesn’t need a ton of possessions while also adding a ton of value on defense. This season, only six perimeter players have a usage rate of 13 or less while still being positive players per EPM:it’s Alex Caruso, Josh Hart, Delon Wright, Kenrich Williams, Josh Green and Finney-Smith.

很难找到一个身高6尺7,手臂长,三分球命中率达到 38% 的人(正如芬尼-史密斯在他职业生涯的最后四年里在 1,200 多场比赛中所做的那样)。芬尼-史密斯在进攻端并没有太多价值,作为一个不需要大量球权的防守人,同时在防守端也有很多价值。本赛季,只有六名外线球员的使用率为 13 或更少:亚历克斯卡鲁索,乔什哈特,德隆赖特,肯里奇威廉姆斯,乔什格林和芬尼-史密斯。

He’s been a significant plus player in each of the last three seasons (even this one, when he’s been in a prolonged shooting slump), and he is on a killer contract. Finney-Smith will make an average of $14.3 million for each of the next three seasons after this one. As long as he maintains his defense and shooting, he’ll be worth far more than that.

他在过去三个赛季中的每个赛季都是一名重要的球员(即使是这个赛季,当他长期处于投篮低迷状态时),而且他的合同是超值的。在这一季之后的接下来的三个赛季中,芬尼-史密斯的平均收入将达到 1430 万美元。只要他保持他的防守和投篮,他的价值将远不止于此。

欧文谈东契奇最后一攻 欧文将如何适应东契奇(3)

More than anything, Dallas moving Finney-Smith signals that the franchise has faith in the other Maverick in that list above. Green has been quite good this season, providing real energy and activity on both ends. He could be a really strong transition partner in moments with Irving where the team wants to get uptempo. But whereas Finney-Smith has real value moving up and down the lineup taking tough assignments on defense, Green has largely been more of an option against high-level backcourt players.

最重要的是,达拉斯交易芬尼-史密斯表明球队对上述名单中的另一位更有信心。格林本赛季表现相当出色,在攻防两端都提供了真正的活力。在球队想要加快节奏的时候,他可以成为欧文一个非常强大的伙伴。但是,尽管芬尼-史密斯在防守端承担着艰巨的任务,在阵容中具有真正的价值,但格林在很大程度上更像是防守高水平后场球员的选择。

Finney-Smith weighs about 20 pounds more than Green and has the ability with his length to play more physically. It’s possible Green could get there, but I’m a bit skeptical that he’d be able to handle those matchups this year. It would be good for Dallas to test that out soon.

芬尼-史密斯的体重比格林重约 20 磅,而且他的身高有能力发挥更多天赋。格林有可能做到这一点,但我有点怀疑他今年能否应付这些比赛。对达拉斯来说,尽快进行测试是件好事。

Even with Finney-Smith, though, Dallas has been a poor defensive team this season. The Mavs are 24th in defensive efficiency entering this new era, and this trade leaves Dallas with even fewer positive defensive players. Green is one. Maxi Kleber, who is recovering from a hamstring injury that has seen him miss the last seven weeks, is certainly another. Reggie Bullock started the season roughly, but he’s been better on both ends recently. That’s really it, though, and the frontcourt is particularly concerning in this regard.

不过,即使有芬尼-史密斯,达拉斯本赛季的防守也很差。新赛季至今,独行侠的防守效率排在第 24 位,而这笔交易让独行侠的积极防守球员更少了。格林是其中之一。马克西·克勒贝尔正在从过去七周缺席的腿筋伤病中恢复过来,他肯定是另一个人。雷吉布洛克本赛季开局一般,但最近他在攻防两端都变得更好了。不过,前场在这方面尤其令人担忧。

欧文谈东契奇最后一攻 欧文将如何适应东契奇(4)

The three most talented players on the roster — Dončić, Irving and Christian Wood — are all liabilities on that end in one way or another. Dončić has smart, team-based instincts but is slow and can occasionally disengage a bit due to the offensive load he carries. Irving, when locked in, can give point-of-attack effort but is small (6-2) and a mismatch issue at the highest playoff levels. And Wood is not consistently reliable rotationally and isn’t really a switchable big either.

名单上最有天赋的三名球员——东契奇、欧文和克里斯蒂安·伍德——都以某种方式在防守上负有责任。东契奇有聪明的团队本能,但速度慢,有时会因为他承担的进攻负荷而有点脱离。欧文可以在防守上更努力,但在季后赛时身材矮小的后卫会被点名针对。伍德在轮换方面并不总是可靠的,也不是一个真正可以换防的大个子。

In the playoffs, it would be far too easy for opponents to hunt mismatches with those three on the court. In that vein, Dallas needs to survey the market for defensive help. The team can’t go into a playoff series against Nikola Jokić and Denver expecting that Dwight Powell, Kleber and Wood will get the job done. A team like Sacramento would likely strain the Mavs’ defense substantially, with Domantas Sabonis’ inside-out game. For Dallas to get the most out of this Irving deal, the team cannot be done making moves.

在季后赛中,对手很容易在场上寻找这三人的防守漏洞。在这种情况下,达拉斯需要调查市场以寻求交易。球队不能在与尼古拉·约基奇的掘金在季后赛系列赛中,指望德怀特·鲍威尔、克勒贝尔和伍德能完成防守任务。像萨克拉门托这样的球队也可能会利用萨博尼斯的内线能力在比赛中大大削弱小牛队的防守。为了让达拉斯从欧文交易中获得最大收益,球队不能停止采取行动。

欧文谈东契奇最后一攻 欧文将如何适应东契奇(5)

达拉斯的下一步是什么?

A lot of how Dallas can act now depends on how the team is planning for the sheer uncertainty that is trading for Irving. Irving is unpredictable, and he’s not under contract for next season. Can you really feel certain within the next week that he’s going to re-sign this summer? While Dallas’ hope is that things go well with Irving and result in him re-signing, you probably can’t assume anything. I would venture the Mavs see things that way, too, given the way they structured this trade.

达拉斯现在如何行动很大程度上取决于球队如何计划交易填补欧文的不确定性欧文是不可预测的,他下赛季没有合同。你真的能在下周确定他会在今年夏天续约吗?虽然达拉斯希望欧文一切顺利并让他重新签约,但你可能无法假设任何事情。考虑到他们达成交易的方式,我敢打赌小牛队也会以这种方式看待事情。

If Irving chooses not to stay in Dallas, the team just cleared around $35 million off its cap sheet for this offseason. That could allow them to restart again around Dončić, something that would likely be very attractive for players around the league. The team has just $108.6 million in salaries slated to be on the roster right now, which is about $25 million less than the projected salary cap. The team could also waive and stretch Dāvis Bertāns’ contract over the next five years to add more than $11 million in space. That would get them very close to max cap space in the summer. The Mavs also made a conscious decision to include the 2029 first-round pick in this deal, which will allow the team to trade its 2025 and 2027 first-rounders moving forward.

如果欧文选择不留在达拉斯,那么球队刚刚从休赛期的薪资表中清理了大约 3500 万美元。这可能会让他们以东契奇重新开始,这对联盟的球员来说可能非常有吸引力。球队目前的薪水仅为 1.086 亿美元,比预计的工资帽低约 2500 万美元。球队还可以在未来五年内放弃和延长贝尔坦斯的合同,以增加超过 1100 万美元的空间。这将使他们在夏天拥有非常接近顶薪的空间。独行侠还做出了一个有意识的决定,将 2029 年的首轮选秀权包括在这笔交易中,这将使球队能够交易其 2025 年和 2027 年的首轮选秀权。

In the coming days, is Dallas going to value its flexibility in the summer for the break-glass-in-case-of-emergency situation that could arise if things go haywire? Or do the Mavs go all-in around the Dončić/Irving combination? For their part, the Mavs seem to be recognize that more needs to be done. The Athletic’s Tim Cato noted that the team is exploring other trades, and Marc Stein noted that we shouldn’t be surprised if Wood gets dealt prior to the deadline.

在接下来的几天里,达拉斯是否会在夏季重视其灵活性,以应对在 事情失控时可能出现的紧急情况?或者小牛队会围绕东契奇欧文组合全力以赴吗?就他们而言,独行侠似乎认识到需要做更多的工作。The Athletic的蒂姆卡托指出球队正在探索其他交易,马克斯坦指出如果伍德在截止日期前被交易,我们不应该感到惊讶。

欧文谈东契奇最后一攻 欧文将如何适应东契奇(6)

There is a small problem for Dallas. If the team decides to focus on its frontcourt for defensive help (or move Wood), there aren’t a ton of bigs on the market that make sense for Dallas if it wants to maintain that maneuverability this summer.

达拉斯有一个小问题。如果球队决定专注于前场以寻求防守补充(或交易伍德),那么如果达拉斯想在今年夏天保持这种机动性,市场上没有很多对达拉斯有意义的大个子。

Jakob Poeltl would be a perfect fit, but he’s going to be cost-prohibitive. Jarred Vanderbilt would be killer for the Mavs, but is the team really going to move one of its two remaining first-round picks for him when it could maintain them into the offseason? John Collins has improved a lot on defense and would make a lot of sense for them on offense, but I don’t know that he solves the issue. The same can be said for offense-first bigs such as Naz Reid, Mason Plumlee, Chris Boucher and Richaun Holmes.

珀尔特尔将是一个完美的人选,但他的成本过高。范德比尔特是独行侠最完美的补充,但球队真的会在可以将他们留到休赛期时将剩余的两个首轮选秀权中的一个转移给爵士吗?约翰柯林斯在防守方面有了很大进步,在进攻端对他们来说也很有意义,但我不确定他能解决问题。对于纳兹里德、梅森普拉姆利、克里斯布歇和里乔恩霍姆斯等进攻至上的大个子来说也是如此。

You can make a case for a couple of informed bets. Mo Bamba went to Texas and could very easily be available from Orlando as a high-potential swing for a lesser cost, but he has played exactly zero playoff minutes and hasn’t been all that consistent in the regular season. He has a contract that is non-guaranteed for next season at $10.3 million, so if things really broke right and the Mavs kept Irving, Bamba could also fit well while also letting them get out of the deal if they need the space. Another option would be to try to get Isaiah Hartenstein,the backup Knicks center who had a tremendous season for the LA Clippers last season but hasn’t been a fit for New York.

您可以为几个明智的赌注辩护。比如魔术的班巴,很容易从奥兰多以较低的成本得到高潜力的摇摆球员,但他在季后赛的上场时间正好为零,而且在常规赛中表现也不是那么稳定。他有一份下赛季 1030 万美元的非保障合同,所以如果事情真的发生了变化,独行侠留下了欧文,班巴也可以很好地适应,同时如果他们需要空间,也可以让他们退出交易。另一种选择是尝试得到以赛亚·哈尔滕斯坦,尼克斯队的替补中锋,他在洛杉矶快船队度过了一个精彩的赛季,但不适合纽约。

Could the Knicks be interested in taking Powell and his expiring deal for Hartenstein to get his $8.2 million off the books for next season, while the Mavericks bet on Hartenstein’s fun dribble-handoff game and flashes as a rim protector last season translating at the highest levels? This would be cost-effective for Dallas from an assets perspective but would cut into its space for the summer. Finally, Pacers’ young big man Goga Bitadze is in the last year of his rookie contract, and he’s at least shown some rim-protection flashes, but he would be a last-ditch effort given that he’s outside of the Pacers’ rotation right now.

尼克斯队是否有兴趣接受鲍威尔和他即将到期的合同,以便在下个赛季将他的 820 万美元从账簿上拿走,而独行侠则押注哈尔滕斯坦可以接替鲍威尔,并转化为篮筐保护者?从资产的角度来看,这对达拉斯来说是划算的,但会占用夏季的空间。最后,步行者队的年轻大个子比塔泽在他新秀合同的最后一年,他至少展示了一些护框天赋,但考虑到他现在不在步行者队的轮换阵容中,他将是最后的选择.

Arguably, the better option for Dallas would be to embrace the small-ball lineup that got them to the Western Conference finals last year. Could the Mavs just look to play Irving, Dončić and Kleber at the five, while putting out two potential floor spacers on the wings who also defend? That would allow them to prioritize defensive wing help at the deadline, preferably on the bigger side. O.G. Anunoby would be perfect, but I don’t think the team’s two first-rounders is enough to get that deal done without getting outbid by someone else. Jae Crowder at the four could work, but would Phoenix really help a team it would be competing against in the playoffs?

可以说,对达拉斯来说更好的选择是采用去年让他们进入西部决赛的小球阵容。独行侠是否可以只考虑让欧文、东契奇和克勒贝尔打五号位,同时在侧翼派出两名防守球员?这将使他们能够在截止日期前优先考虑防守侧翼的帮助,最好是在大前锋上面。阿奴诺比会是完美的,但我认为这笔交易不值得付出两个选秀权的其中一个。杰·克劳德打四号位可以,但菲尼克斯真的会帮助一支在季后赛中与之竞争的球队吗?

Maybe the team could get involved in some sort of three-team trade with the Clippers and end up with Robert Covington? He’s a bit diminished on the defensive end and is locked into one more year on his contract, but he’d be an upgrade with his weakside rim protection. Still, this wouldn’t necessarily help in Jokić and Sabonis matchups, and those series would immediately turn into fire fights on offense.

也许球队可以与快船队进行某种三队交易,最终得到罗伯特考文顿?他在防守端有点退步了,合同还被锁定了一年,但他的弱侧篮筐保护将是一个升级。不过,这对和约基奇,萨博尼斯的对决不一定有帮助,而且这些系列赛会立即变成进攻端的火拼。

If Irving enjoys his time in Dallas and commits, the team could have about four years to build out its defense and frontcourt around that duo. But the Mavs also probably need to experience a modicum of success over the remaining half-season for all parties to feel good about this pairing. All of this is why you can sell yourself on this trade for the Mavericks. All-NBA players are hard to acquire. This trade improves the team’s upside now and in the future, while also providing a potential off-ramp if things go sour within the next five months.

如果欧文享受他在达拉斯的时光并做出承诺,球队可能有大约四年的时间来围绕这对搭档建立防守和前场。但小牛队可能还需要在剩下的半个赛季中取得一点成功,让各方对这对搭档感觉良好。所有这些就是为什么独行侠决定参与交易。明星球员很难获得。这笔交易提高了球队现在和未来的优势,同时如果未来五个月内情况不妙,也提供了一个潜在的出路。

The worst-case scenario isn’t Irving leaving this offseason, though. It’s if the team wins a playoff series, gets knocked out in the Western Conference semifinals, Irving re-signs at a max level and then goes back to missing games within the first two years of that deal. If this were to happen all over again, it’s hard to believe he’d have much value around the league on a long-term deal, making it exceedingly difficult for Dallas to pivot for a large swath of the remaining time that Dončić is under contract before he has the potential to hit unrestricted free agency.

不过,最坏的情况并不是欧文在这个休赛期离开。如果球队季后赛打的不错,比如在西部半决赛中被淘汰,欧文以顶薪续约,然后在合同的前两年又开始缺席比赛。如果这种情况再次发生,很难相信他在一份长期合同中对球队有多大价值,这使得独行侠很难在剩余的大部分时间里调整东契奇的合同在他有可能成为不受限制的自由球员之前。

That’s why the Mavericks have a difficult needle to thread, not just for the rest of the week but also for however long Irving remains on the roster. Acquiring someone this gifted could be the transformational deal that results in the Mavericks’ next championship. Or it could lead to immense frustration for everyone in the organization.

这就是小牛队目前很难的原因,不仅是在本周剩下的时间里,只要欧文还在球队就会如此。得到一个如此有天赋的人可能是带来独行侠下一个总冠军的变革性交易。或者它可能会给球队中的每个人带来巨大的挫败感。

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